Saturday, June 21, 2014

JEB! beats Hillary in one poll: which is most "reactionary"

A plurality of Americans, in an NBC/Wall Street Journal/Annenberg poll, believe both Hillary and JEB! represent the policies of the past.  Only 30 percent believe JEB! has any positive "new ideas and vision the country would need" while 42 percent believe Hillary might offer something relevant.  That could be near the exact popular vote totals between the two if a strong third choice is in the 2016 race.

What the poll, which breaks down very much along partisan lines, doesn't test is how American voters will view a third Bush running after the disastrous meltdown of Iraq.  Would voters fear another Bush means another certain war in the Middle East to, yet again, make it safe for western oil interests and the Bush family's historical reputation?  Would voters view the referendum, ultimately, as a choice between Clinton and Bush contrasting legacies on economic conditions?

A lot of JEB!'s baggage is built into his family name, and universally known.  Some of it will be specific to him (his educational cronyism, his dubious Lehman consulting gig) and isn't yet well known.

And Hillary is currently grappling with an embarrassing blast from her "young lawyer" past as an audio interview of her making some light of representing a child rapist decades ago has surfaced.

Expect a dynastic clash between the Bushes and Clintons to be ruthlessly negative and relentlessly nasty.  Since both would be selling essentially the same policies to defend elite interests, it's the packaging that will matter.

In hindsight, Clinton wasn't so bad

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