Wednesday, April 2, 2014

Why Jeb Bush Will Win the 2016 GOP Nomination

That's the title of a recent blog post on the Huffington Post.  The "why" is explained this way:

"He's got class, pedigree, political juice and a Mexican-born wife...assets the Republican Party desperately needs. He's an oasis of respectability and sanity in a sea of fringe madness. He's appealingly establishment and old-school against a backdrop of Tea Party Turks run amok. He's Steady-Eddie. Conservative enough to appeal to the masses, but not too conservative to attract independents."

Words like these beg a multitude of reactions.  No doubt Jeb Bush can be the Republican nominee if he wants to be.  The party leadership and the donor base will deliver the nomination to him, over any objections primary voters might have.  Yet when reading this rationale for his candidacy, one has to wonder if the right wing (neoconservative) Establishment in this country has become as detached from reality as the perfumed Versailles aristocracy of the French ancien regime circa 1788.

Quite frankly Jeb would be destroyed in a general election, certainly by Bill and Hillary Clinton, but most likely by any Democrat who manages to get that party's nomination.  At least ten percent of the hard right base would stay home, just as they did for Mitt Romney.  Independents, who have no ideological view of reality that can be manipulated by neocon wedge baiters using tired, outdated strategies and tactics will simply not accept a third Bush president within a mere quarter century (coming after what the first two offered the country).  In fact, they will consider the very idea laughable. Jeb can "win" the 2016 GOP nomination, but nothing else.

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