Tuesday, September 15, 2015

JEB! Bush Fading in New Hampshire. When's the comeback coming?

Why do I have to run? I should just be crowned!
(Breitbart News) - A poll released Monday from Monmouth University confirms that Donald Trump and Ben Carson are on the rise in the Republican field in New Hampshire.

Just ahead of the second GOP debate, Trump leads the field with 28 percent in the nation’s first primary state. Carson is a distinct second with 17 percent. The only other candidate in double-digits is Ohio Governor John Kasich, with 11 percent support.
Texas Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) is fourth, with 8 percent. Businesswomen Carly Fiorina and one-time frontrunner Jeb Bush are tied for fifth, with 7% support each. The rest of the Republican field polls under 5 percent.
Trump’s position at the top of the field holds steady from a July poll conducted by Monmouth, when Trump earned 24 percent support. The bigger changes have been the surge in support for Ben Carson, up from only 5 percent in July, and the collapse in support for Jeb Bush, who was second in the July poll. Jeb, in fact, has shed almost half his support from the July survey.

Jeb’s favorables have also turned upside down. In July, his favorable/unfavorables were 47/37. Today, they are 39/45, a 16-point swing to the negative. Trump, Carson, Fiorina, Cruz and Kasich are the only candidates whose favorables improved since July. Every other candidate lost ground, with Jeb’s drop being particularly noteworthy.
As Breitbart News reported last week, Right to Rise, the Super PAC affiliated with Jeb Bush’s campaign has scheduled $11 million in TV advertising beginning this week in New Hampshire. The Bush campaign itself is planning at least $500,000 in advertising in the Granite State. Both buys will be heavy in the expensive Boston media market, which covers large parts of New Hampshire. It also, for those keeping score at home, covers even more voters who won’t be voting in New Hampshire. Read more.

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