Tuesday, December 16, 2014

JEB! is still being destroyed by Hilldog in national polls

The Crown Prince is still losing to the Hildabeast by landslide proportions in national polls.  What else is new? The latest McClatchy-Marist Poll, conducted December 3rd through December 9th, 2014, has Hillary crushing the Crown Prince, 53 percent to 40 percent.  This poll continues the trend exhibited in all national polls since they began to test this matchup:  JEB! can't ever poll higher than around 40 percent. Hillary consistently polls between 46 to 55 percent.
These numbers suggest this likelihood.  A  JEB! nomination forced by money and delegate selection shenanigans could provoke a fairly high profile third option by a viable independent running to the right of JEB! and targeting nativists and tea party voters.   The result would probably result in Hillary getting around 48 percent, JEB! around 40 percent, and the tea party rogue candidate getting the rest. Absent a third option, the vote would probably break down about 55 percent to 45 percent for Hillary, with the Democratic base fired up by the prospect of preventing a third Bush presidency, and millions of members of the Republican tea party base sitting home.  But bet on a third option this time.

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