Here is the real scenario. Hillary is 100 percent certain to run if JEB! runs. It would be too easy and too tempting not to. She would not even have to campaign to beat a third Bush. The Crown Prince has promised his pluto donors he will let them know what he is going to do by the end of the year. Now when a Bush's lips are moving, they are generally lying, but JEB! really does not have the option to string his base out as long as Hillary does. If he runs, he will have to announce before she does. And whether or not the Fox fantasy comes true depends on JEB!'s New Year reality show.
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