Thursday, March 20, 2014

The New 2016 GOP Frontrunner!

According to Larry J. Sabato and the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics that new front runner is Jeb Bush!  Surprised?  Their basic argument is that Poppy Bush and Rove tried to coax Christie into running in 2012 (perhaps to get rid of him as a potential 2016 threat to Jeb?  They don't say that), and when Christie imploded earlier this year (perhaps they knew that was bound to happen eventually), Jeb steps right up as the "logical" alternative, and last "sane" one standing.

The entire report makes interesting reading for any political junkie, but this kernel is the rub:
"For all the sturm und drang regarding the Tea Party in the Republican nominating process, it’s going to be hard for someone who lacks widespread establishment support — like Sens. Rand Paul (R-KY) or Ted Cruz (R-TX) — to win the nomination. Political science research indicates that endorsements from sitting officeholders and party leaders can be quite predictive of presidential nominees.
And that leads us to another reason to take a potential Bush candidacy seriously: The establishment loves him."

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