And history will judge me another Harry Truman too. |
Since 1968 there have been only two times—1996 and 2000—when the New Hampshire Republican primary winner did not eventually become the party’s nominee for President. By contrast, the Iowa Caucuses’ winner has gone on to the nomination only six times in the last ten election cycles and Iowa did not choose the winning nominee the last two elections. Somehow, winning the New Hampshire primary thrusts a candidate into an almost unstoppable lead for the nomination...
If it is so that New Hampshire “independents” are capable of swinging a primary to a certain candidate and, therefore, choosing the party’s nominee, that begs the question: Who are New Hampshire’s “independents?” Adam Nagourney in the New York Times (October 2, 2007) cites a survey which said that 45% of them were leaning Democrat while only 30% were leaning Republican. And perhaps much of the remaining 25% lean left too, but are reluctant to say so. Read more.
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