1. The 2016 race for the Republican presidential nomination is off and running — but already, the race has seen some bad decisions which will negatively impact the outcome 18 months from now.
2. The withdrawal of 2012 nominee Mitt Romney has unleashed a stampede of GOP donors and bundlers, most of them to former Gov. Jeb Bush (R-Fla.).
3. This is despite the fact that Bush is a surprisingly desultory candidate. His performance in Detroit last week — in what was billed as his first national campaign appearance — was weak and lackluster. He does notconnect well — at least so far — with GOP primary voters.
4. The GOP donor class meets with Bush in their offices, houses, clubs or in small groups. He may, in fact, do well in those settings. But they are in effect investing in "Jeb Bush, the Political Candidate" — not in Jeb Bush, the next-in-line Bush who can tell stories in private about his father's and older brother's times in the White House. Yeah, sure, these donors come away charmed in person; but many of them were already George W. Bush donors so they are predisposed to support Jeb. (And these very same donors were equally charmed — twice — by Romney, and how'd that work out?)
5. But this decision will greatly impact the overall GOP race.
6. Why? Read More...
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