Can JEB! ever poll over 40 percent? |
Murdoch, with all the weight of FOX BNN (Bush News Network), Rove, and their backers will surely try to derail the Mutts For Mitt 2016 express before it gets out of the station yard, but polls show they will have their work, and their disinformation campaign, cut out for them. A most recent Iowa caucus poll, conducted between January 5 and 7, showed Romney (now factored in) with 21 percent support, and the Crown Prince with only 10 percent. In all national polls between November and now, when Romney is factored in with the Crown Prince, he handily beats the Crown Prince in every poll. Name recognition can't account for JEB! underperforming at this point because, as a royal Bush who is universally known for his role in the 2000 election, JEB! is as well known as any potential Republican nominee, including Romney. So well known, in fact, that 49 percent in one recent national general election 2016 poll stated they would never vote for him under any circumstance.
With a crowded field including Romney and William Jennings Huckabee, JEB! may not, under a worst case scenario, start to successfully purchase the nomination outright until he gets the home cooking in the Florida primary. Consider that either Romney or Huckabee could win in Iowa, and Romney win in New Hampshire (one of his many "home" states). In a crowded field, with establishment support split, Huckabee could pull out a narrow plurality win in South Carolina, much as Newt did in 2012. Florida will certainly belong to the Crown Prince, and even if he loses everything up until then, a solid, predicable victory in Florida would allow all big media outlets to anoint JEB! as the inevitable nominee at that point.
No comments:
Post a Comment