How Obama will bait the GOP into nominating JEB!, and rush headlong into a 2016 catastrophe

It's not about whether or not JEB! wants to be president (he believes he is absolutely entitled to the job), or whether there are enough fat cat donors who would bankroll him (there are).

One crucial question is whether or not JEB! would run knowing he can't be elected, even though he would be certain to get the nomination if he wanted it.  Is the Bush conceit so deranged he could not easily deduce a successful White House bid is all but impossible for him in 2016?  Or would he run anyway knowing he cannot win in order to help destroy the tea party's insurgency against the establishment, while believing he can pave the way for his son, George P., to mount perhaps a more viable effort to con the electorate in 2024 as the nominee of a more "Hispanic friendly" GOP?

Obama is getting ready to game the perilous and agonizing dilemma the GOP faces with Hispanic voters, and you can bet he is secretly gleeful about how he has them trapped, and about putting another big one over on them (if you count the ACA as big one number one).

Obama will try to (and probably successfully) bait the House into impeaching him shortly after (not before) the midterms with an executive order he will issue granting legal status to many millions of undocumented Hispanics who came to the US during the years of the two prior Bush presidents, when the Bush-led GOP pursued open borders in the service of cheap labor for their business benefactors.  He will frame such unilateral action clearly in this context: that his Republican presidential predecessors largely created the rationale for it, their party will do nothing to clean up the mess, and what he is doing is fair under the circumstances.

He will do this with four specific and obtainable political goals in mind:

1. enrage the Democratic base, over his impeachment, before 2016;

2. depress the Republican nativist base after the newly Republican controlled Senate refuses to convict him, with a number of Republican Senators unwilling to support conviction, and many Republicans, such as putative 2016 nominee Jeb Bush, critical of the entire process;

3. enrage Hispanics toward the Republican Party for impeaching him over what he will convince them is a just action;

4. embolden the panicked GOP establishment to force the nomination of Jeb Bush as the most "Hispanic friendly" candidate they can control and would trust in a misguided effort to mitigate long term damage to the party's generational and demographic electoral prospects.

The result, with a third Bush as the establishment nominee driving millions of disgruntled nativists to stay home, and alienating millions of non-ideological suburban and urban independents aghast at yet another Bush, will be a disastrous loss in 2016 that could wipe out Republican control in both Houses of Congress, and in hindsight probably doom George P.'s efforts for a Bush Restoration in 2024.

You can say whatever you want about Obama as a president, but he is a world class political chess player, and he has the Royal Family in his Jacobin sights.